Truisms are usually simple and here at Not To The Swift when it comes to handicapping I like to keep it simple.
One truism about the Belmont Stakes is that it's either won by the best horse or the only horse who could actually run a mile and a half.
In the first category we have horses like Afleet Alex, Empire Maker and Point Given. In the second category you have horses like Jazil, Sarava and Commendable.
I think this will be one of those years where the winner comes from the second category. So here's hoping another deserving Cajun jockey wins his first classic and that's why I pick Imawildandcrazyguy and Mark Guidry to the win the Belmont Stakes.